30. July 2026

"The future of outbreak prevention lies at the intersection of ecology, evolution, and the One Health approach" Maureen Nabatanzi successfully defends her doctoral thesis on Modeling arbovirus emergence in Africa

Maureen Nabatanzi defends her doctoral thesis on Modeling arbovirus emergence: Integrating evolution, ecology, distribution and One Health policy performance in Africa

Maureen Nabatanzi successfully defended her doctoral thesis on "Modeling arbovirus emergence: Integrating evolution, ecology, distribution and One Health policy performance in Africa". 
Her doctoral degree was granted by the Faculty of Agricultural, Nutritional and Engineering Sciences of the University of Bonn-

Her supervisors were Prof. Dr. Lisa Biber-Freudenberger (ZEF/University of Bonn) and Prof. Dr. Sandra Junglen (Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin).

Defense Maureen Nabatanzi profile
Defense Maureen Nabatanzi profile © ZEF
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What was the research about?

Arthropod-borne viruses, also known as arboviruses, are viruses transmitted by arthropods like mosquitoes that affect human and animal health in Africa. Using data from across Africa, I combined satellite-derived environmental information, virus genetic data, and mathematical models to study how changing environmental conditions affect virus distribution and the risk of transmission.

Why this research matters

The research showed that changes in climate, land use, and socioeconomic factors influence where viruses and their mosquito vectors can survive. These factors also shape how viruses spread over time. Based on workshops with Ugandan experts, I demonstrated that a "One Health" approach, which brings together the human, animal, and environmental sectors, is more effective at reducing the risk of arboviral diseases than actions taken by individual sectors alone.

The main message of this research is that disease emergence is not random. By integrating ecology, viral evolution, and coordinated decision-making, we can better predict where future outbreaks may occur and identify the most effective prevention strategies.

Key takeaways

  • Integrating health, veterinary, environmental, and socio-economic data can improve disease surveillance efforts in Africa.

  • Strengthening the capacity of national and international One Health mechanisms to identify disease risk factors could help African countries prepare more effectively for outbreaks.

Figure from Maureen Nabatanzi’s Doctoral Thesis: Proactive Arbovirus Preparedness
Figure from Maureen Nabatanzi’s Doctoral Thesis: Proactive Arbovirus Preparedness © Maureen Nabatanzi
Defense Maureen Nabatanzi group photo
Defense Maureen Nabatanzi group photo © ZEF

"The main message of this research is that disease emergence is not random. By integrating ecology, viral evolution, and coordinated decision-making, we can  predict where future outbreaks may occur more accurately and identify the most effective prevention strategies."

This research was funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG) under the grant titled “The Effects of Biodiversity loss and Land-Use Change on the Occurrence of Novel Infectious Diseases”

Modeling the potential distribution of Wesselsbron, Sindbis, and Middelburg viruses and their vectors in Africa under future climatic and land-use changes 
This chapter was originally published as: Nabatanzi M, Graff SL, Kigai EEB, Peter Z. Sabakaki PZ, Tindyebwa TA, Lutwama JJ, Rwego IB, Nsubuga AM, Junglen S, Biber-Freudenberger L. (2026) Modeling the potential distribution of Wesselsbron, Sindbis, and Middelburg viruses and their vectors in Africa under future climatic and land-use changes. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 20(3): e0014072. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0014072  

Maureen Nabatanzi, Selina L. Graff, Kigai E.E. Bigala, Peter Z.
Sabakaki, Teddy A. Tindyebwa, Julius J. Lutwama, Innocent B. Rwego, Anthony M. Nsubuga, Sandra Junglen, Lisa Biber-Freudenberger (2026). Modeling policy decisions to mitigate the risk of emerging arboviral diseases under ecological changes in Uganda: Proposing a One Health in all policies approach.
One Health 22(101414). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101414  
 

 

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